L’École des cotes

Ferencváros TC v PFC Ludogorets Razgrad

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ferencváros TC (Local)

Prévision 62.30%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.995%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%62.35%62.29%63.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.19%66.67%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

PFC Ludogorets Razgrad (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.45%6.47cote équitable
EV +5.04%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +0.869%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%15.37%15.48%16.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.066.006.8018.18%16.51%16.67%14.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.26%4.49cote équitable
EV +0.153%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.044%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%22.28%22.23%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.234.254.5025.00%23.62%23.53%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +5.04%E +0.742%K +0.869%G +0.044%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.39%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +1.49%E +0.227%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:40
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:30
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:39
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:15
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -1.14%E -0.178%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:37
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:16
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:15
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:38
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -5.63%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:40
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -5.63%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.34%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.77%E -0.946%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:15
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:34
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:15
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.23%EV -8.86%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:28
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -8.86%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:20
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.43%EV -1.57%E -0.995%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.56%EV -9.48%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.01%EV -1.85%E -0.419%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:23
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:15
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:15
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 17:16
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -11.95%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:20
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -11.95%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -9.86%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -15.04%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-02-26 17:40