A Escola das Odds

Celta Vigo v SC Freiburg

Início: 2026-04-16 16:45 UTC

Final: Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Previsão 52.51%1.90odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.964%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.33%52.45%52.58%53.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.43%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Freiburg (Visitante)

Previsão 22.35%4.47odd justa
EV -0.528%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.153%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.26%22.41%22.20%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.154.204.4527.03%24.07%23.81%22.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.13%3.98odd justa
EV +0.540%
Vantagem +0.135%
Kelly +0.180%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.19%25.14%25.22%26.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.763.754.0028.57%26.57%26.67%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV -2.32%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV -2.32%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -16.18%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-16 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%7.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.85%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.55%EV -0.968%E -0.246%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:30
Coolbet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.64%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 16:20
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:40
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -17.29%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.91%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.54%EV -2.98%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:38
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:28
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.58%E -4.31%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.78%EV -0.528%E -0.119%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -3.48%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 52.03%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.03%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:30
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.65%E -0.374%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -17.29%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 16:40
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.21%E -0.741%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.21%E -0.741%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 16:14
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -1.65%E -0.374%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 16:15
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-04-16 16:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-16 16:29
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-16 16:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-16 16:40