L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v SC Freiburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 16:45 UTC

Score final : Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 52.51%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.33%52.45%52.58%53.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.43%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Freiburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.35%4.47cote équitable
EV -0.528%
Avantage -0.119%
Kelly -0.153%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.26%22.41%22.20%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.154.204.4527.03%24.07%23.81%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.540%
Avantage +0.135%
Kelly +0.180%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%25.14%25.22%26.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.754.0028.57%26.57%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV -2.32%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV -2.32%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -16.18%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-16 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%7.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.85%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.55%EV -0.968%E -0.246%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:30
Coolbet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.64%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 16:20
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:40
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -17.29%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.91%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.54%EV -2.98%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:38
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:28
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.58%E -4.31%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.78%EV -0.528%E -0.119%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -3.48%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 52.03%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.03%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:30
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.65%E -0.374%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -17.29%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 16:40
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.21%E -0.741%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.21%E -0.741%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 16:14
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -1.65%E -0.374%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 16:15
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-04-16 16:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-16 16:29
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-16 16:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-16 16:40