مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celta Vigo v SC Freiburg

البداية: 2026-04-16 16:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celta Vigo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.51%1.90السعر العادل
EV -1.80%
الأفضلية -0.964%
Kelly -2.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.33%52.45%52.58%53.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.43%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SC Freiburg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.35%4.47السعر العادل
EV -0.528%
الأفضلية -0.119%
Kelly -0.153%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.26%22.41%22.20%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.154.204.4527.03%24.07%23.81%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.13%3.98السعر العادل
EV +0.540%
الأفضلية +0.135%
Kelly +0.180%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.19%25.14%25.22%26.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.763.754.0028.57%26.57%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV -2.32%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV -2.32%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -16.18%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-16 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%7.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.85%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.55%EV -0.968%E -0.246%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:30
Coolbet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.64%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 16:20
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:40
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -17.29%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.91%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.54%EV -2.98%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:38
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.20%EV -1.80%E -0.964%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.44%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.88%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:28
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.58%E -4.31%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:40
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.78%EV -0.528%E -0.119%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -3.48%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 52.03%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.03%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:30
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.65%E -0.374%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -17.29%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 16:40
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.21%E -0.741%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.21%E -0.741%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 16:14
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -1.65%E -0.374%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 16:15
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 16:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-04-16 16:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-16 16:29
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-16 16:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-16 16:40