Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celta Vigo v Juventus

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.57%30.24%30.16%31.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.053.2235.71%32.99%32.79%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventus (Visit)

Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.88%42.74%42.84%43.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.32%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.02%27.00%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.403.373.5630.30%29.45%29.67%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Celta Vigo (Local): 30.19%; Juventus (Visit): 42.89%; Draw: 26.92%. For Celta Vigo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.22, with an expected value of -2.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.80%E -0.870%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.46%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.85%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 12:22
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.84%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.27%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.69%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 13:03
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 13:54
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 11:59
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 11:59
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:49
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:54
Suprabets🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 29.88%EV -7.33%E -2.39%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.06%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.06%EV -8.73%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.93%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 13:58
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.93%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 11:59
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.44%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 12:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.44%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 13:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.44%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-22 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.44%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.95%E -3.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 11:59
ReBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 30.91%EV -11.25%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.88%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.21%EV -10.08%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 11:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -11.86%E -4.06%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.52%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.90%EV -10.62%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 12:00
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.46%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-22 12:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -12.46%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.22%E -7.11%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-22 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -15.48%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-22 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:35