Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celta Vigo v Juventus

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Testa a testa

23 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celta Vigo (Casa)

Previsione 27.79%3.60quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -0.783%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%27.80%27.84%28.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.323.303.5032.26%30.09%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Juventus (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.36%2.20quota equa
EV -5.64%
Vantaggio -2.71%
Kelly -5.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.58%45.46%45.35%47.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.022.052.0853.19%49.43%48.78%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.85%3.72quota equa
EV -3.35%
Vantaggio -0.930%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.61%26.74%26.81%27.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.453.403.6030.30%29.01%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Celta Vigo (Casa): 27.79%; Juventus (Trasferta): 45.36%; Pareggio: 26.85%. Per Juventus (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.20. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.21, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.254%.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.71%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 15:04
Suprabets🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.25%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.25%EV -9.52%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 14:57
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:59
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:59
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:59
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:03
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:54
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 27.87%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.37%EV -10.86%E -3.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-22 14:59
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:58
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.24%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.31%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 14:58
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV +0.254%E +0.115%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 14:49
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-22 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -14.72%E -7.83%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-22 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-22 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%4.8%2026-09-22 15:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.69%9.3%2026-09-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.69%9.3%2026-09-22 14:59