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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Celta Vigo v Juventus

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Vigo (主队)

预测 27.79%3.60公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -0.783%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.11%27.80%27.84%28.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.323.303.5032.26%30.09%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Juventus (客队)

预测 45.36%2.20公平赔率
EV -5.64%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -5.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
44.58%45.46%45.35%47.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.022.052.0853.19%49.43%48.78%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.85%3.72公平赔率
EV -3.35%
优势 -0.930%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.61%26.74%26.81%27.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.453.403.6030.30%29.01%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Celta Vigo (主队)：27.79%；Juventus (客队)：45.36%；平局：26.85%。 对于“Juventus (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.20。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.21，由此产生+0.254%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.71%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 15:04
Suprabets🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.25%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.25%EV -9.52%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 14:57
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:59
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:59
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:59
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:03
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 14:54
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 27.87%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.37%EV -10.86%E -3.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-22 14:59
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:58
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.24%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.31%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 14:58
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV +0.254%E +0.115%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 14:49
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-22 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -14.72%E -7.83%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-22 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-22 15:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%4.8%2026-09-22 15:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.69%9.3%2026-09-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.69%9.3%2026-09-22 14:59