Школа коэффициентов

Bologna v Aston Villa

Начало: 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Bologna (Хозяева)

Прогноз 23.75%4.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.956%
Преимущество +0.225%
Kelly +0.294%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.71%23.66%23.81%25.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.653.974.004.2527.40%25.22%25.00%23.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Aston Villa (Гости)

Прогноз 47.77%2.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.08%
Преимущество -1.02%
Kelly -1.98%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.02%47.88%47.72%49.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.871.971.972.0553.48%50.74%50.76%48.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.48%3.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.17%
Преимущество -0.338%
Kelly -0.475%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.55%28.47%28.46%29.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.323.303.4731.25%30.16%30.30%28.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV +0.956%E +0.225%K +0.294%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -1.17%E -0.338%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:55
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV +0.956%E +0.225%K +0.294%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -1.17%E -0.338%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:55
1xBet4.18I 23.92%NM 23.21%EV -0.707%E -0.169%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.75%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV -1.46%E -0.421%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.71%EV -2.08%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.43%EV -2.03%E -0.589%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 18:55
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 18:55
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 18:55
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 18:28
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:40
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 18:40
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.98%EV -3.51%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 18:15
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.98%EV -3.51%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 18:15
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 23.89%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -3.04%E -1.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:55
Coolbet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.78%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.01%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 18:20
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -7.81%E -4.05%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:42
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:55
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -3.51%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -3.74%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 18:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 18:30
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 18:15
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:19
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:35
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:35
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:35
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 18:09
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 18:42
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 18:55
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.68%E -5.71%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 18:40
Suprabets3.99I 25.06%NM 23.79%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.95%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.26%EV -4.31%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 18:20
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:55
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:53
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 18:35
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 18:35
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -7.81%E -4.05%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:55
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:15
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 18:20
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 18:15
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:19
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -7.34%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:20
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-04-09 18:45