Die Schule der Quoten

Bologna v Aston Villa

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Bologna (Heim)

Prognose 23.75%4.21faire Quote
EV +0.956%
Vorteil +0.225%
Kelly +0.294%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.71%23.66%23.81%25.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.653.974.004.2527.40%25.22%25.00%23.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Aston Villa (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.77%2.09faire Quote
EV -2.08%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -1.98%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.02%47.88%47.72%49.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.871.971.972.0553.48%50.74%50.76%48.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.48%3.51faire Quote
EV -1.17%
Vorteil -0.338%
Kelly -0.475%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.55%28.47%28.46%29.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.323.303.4731.25%30.16%30.30%28.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV +0.956%E +0.225%K +0.294%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -1.17%E -0.338%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:55
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV +0.956%E +0.225%K +0.294%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -1.17%E -0.338%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:55
1xBet4.18I 23.92%NM 23.21%EV -0.707%E -0.169%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.75%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV -1.46%E -0.421%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.71%EV -2.08%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.43%EV -2.03%E -0.589%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 18:55
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 18:55
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 18:55
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 18:28
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:40
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.61%E -0.636%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 18:40
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.98%EV -3.51%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 18:15
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.98%EV -3.51%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 18:15
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 23.89%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -3.04%E -1.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:55
Coolbet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.78%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.01%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 18:20
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -3.80%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -7.81%E -4.05%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:42
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:55
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -3.51%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -3.74%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 18:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 18:30
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 18:15
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:19
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:35
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:35
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:35
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 18:09
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 18:42
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 18:55
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.68%E -5.71%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 18:40
Suprabets3.99I 25.06%NM 23.79%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.95%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.26%EV -4.31%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -5.90%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 18:20
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:55
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:53
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 18:35
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 18:35
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:30
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -7.81%E -4.05%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:55
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:15
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 18:20
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 18:15
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:19
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -7.34%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:20
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-04-09 18:45