Школа коэффициентов

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Начало: 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

Итог: Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Aston Villa (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.44%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.01%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.75%54.52%54.43%55.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.69%57.80%55.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nottingham Forest (Гости)

Прогноз 20.41%4.90справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.04%
Преимущество +0.407%
Kelly +0.509%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.27%20.34%20.40%21.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.254.654.605.0023.53%21.52%21.74%20.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.15%3.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.102%
Преимущество +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.98

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.23%25.14%25.17%25.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.553.753.753.9828.17%26.64%26.67%25.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 18:50
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:54
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.92%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 18:54
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.83%EV -0.209%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.74%EV -1.41%E -0.359%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:55
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.03%E -0.211%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.03%E -0.211%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.04%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:35
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:35
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.89%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.57%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.55%EV +0.102%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:54
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.39%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV -4.09%E -0.869%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.09%E -0.869%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 18:10
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.09%E -0.869%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 18:55
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -5.11%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.86%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.78%EV -5.31%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 18:50
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:50
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:50
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:53
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.57%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:48
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 07:22
Suprabets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:47
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 18:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:38
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:50
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.56%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.19%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 18:50
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 18:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -11.64%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -13.27%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-07 18:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-07 18:55