مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

البداية: 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aston Villa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.44%1.84السعر العادل
EV -2.01%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.75%54.52%54.43%55.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.69%57.80%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nottingham Forest (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.41%4.90السعر العادل
EV +2.04%
الأفضلية +0.407%
Kelly +0.509%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.27%20.34%20.40%21.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.254.654.605.0023.53%21.52%21.74%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.15%3.98السعر العادل
EV +0.102%
الأفضلية +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.23%25.14%25.17%25.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.753.753.9828.17%26.64%26.67%25.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 18:50
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:54
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.92%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 18:54
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.83%EV -0.209%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.74%EV -1.41%E -0.359%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:55
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.03%E -0.211%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.03%E -0.211%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.04%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:35
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:35
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.89%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.57%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.55%EV +0.102%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:54
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.39%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%EV -3.09%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV -4.09%E -0.869%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.09%E -0.869%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 18:10
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.09%E -0.869%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 18:55
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -5.11%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.86%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.78%EV -5.31%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 18:50
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:50
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:50
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:53
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.57%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:48
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 07:22
Suprabets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:47
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 18:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:38
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:50
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.56%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.19%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 18:50
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 18:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -11.64%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -13.27%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-07 18:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-07 18:55