The School of Odds
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Sint Truiden v FC Iberia 1999

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prediction 77.49%1.29fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -20.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.26%77.56%77.52%79.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.211.2387.72%83.12%82.30%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Iberia 1999 (Visit)

Prediction 7.97%12.54fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.304%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.16%7.98%7.90%9.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.6412.0013.0011.11%8.59%8.33%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.53%6.88fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.523%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 7.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.22%14.46%14.57%16.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.436.507.1018.52%15.56%15.38%14.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 77.49%; FC Iberia 1999 (Visit): 7.97%; Draw: 14.53%. For FC Iberia 1999 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.54. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.39%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.58%EV +3.19%E +0.449%K +0.523%G +0.017%3.7%2026-10-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%7.4%2026-10-15 16:23
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%7.4%2026-10-15 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%8.1%2026-10-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:45
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
picklebet_au🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:53
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.66%E -10.23%K -83.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.99%EV -5.12%E -0.430%K -0.469%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.66%EV -5.68%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.45%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.93%EV -7.27%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.85%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.68%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.27%EV -10.30%E -0.916%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.01%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.45%EV -14.29%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.88%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:55
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -28.24%E -3.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -21.52%E -3.98%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.86%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.0%2026-10-15 18:55