Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sint Truiden v FC Iberia 1999

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Score final : Sint Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 77.49%1.29cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -3.81%
Kelly -20.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.26%77.56%77.52%79.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.211.2387.72%83.12%82.30%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Iberia 1999 (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.97%12.54cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.281%
Kelly +0.304%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.16%7.98%7.90%9.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.6412.0013.0011.11%8.59%8.33%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 14.53%6.88cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +0.523%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 7.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.22%14.46%14.57%16.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.406.436.507.1018.52%15.56%15.38%14.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sint Truiden (Local) : 77.49% ; FC Iberia 1999 (Visiteur) : 7.97% ; Match nul : 14.53%. Pour FC Iberia 1999 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.54. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.39%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.58%EV +3.19%E +0.449%K +0.523%G +0.017%3.7%2026-10-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%7.4%2026-10-15 16:23
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%7.4%2026-10-15 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%8.1%2026-10-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:45
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
picklebet_au🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:53
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.66%E -10.23%K -83.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.99%EV -5.12%E -0.430%K -0.469%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.66%EV -5.68%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.45%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.93%EV -7.27%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.85%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.68%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.27%EV -10.30%E -0.916%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.01%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.45%EV -14.29%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.88%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:55
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -28.24%E -3.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -21.52%E -3.98%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 18:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.86%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.0%2026-10-15 18:55