Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sint Truiden v FC Iberia 1999

Início: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Previsão 77.49%1.29odd justa
EV -4.68%
Vantagem -3.81%
Kelly -20.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.26%77.56%77.52%79.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.201.211.2387.72%83.12%82.30%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Iberia 1999 (Visitante)

Previsão 7.97%12.54odd justa
EV +3.65%
Vantagem +0.281%
Kelly +0.304%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.16%7.98%7.90%9.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.0011.6412.0013.0011.11%8.59%8.33%7.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 14.53%6.88odd justa
EV +3.19%
Vantagem +0.449%
Kelly +0.523%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.22%14.46%14.57%16.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.406.436.507.1018.52%15.56%15.38%14.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sint Truiden (Local): 77.49%; FC Iberia 1999 (Visitante): 7.97%; Empate: 14.53%. Para FC Iberia 1999 (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.54. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 13.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.39%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.58%EV +3.19%E +0.449%K +0.523%G +0.017%3.7%2026-10-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%7.4%2026-10-15 16:23
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%7.4%2026-10-15 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%8.1%2026-10-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:45
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -4.08%E -0.618%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.65%E +0.281%K +0.304%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
picklebet_au🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:53
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.66%E -10.23%K -83.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.99%EV -5.12%E -0.430%K -0.469%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.66%EV -5.68%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.45%EV -4.68%E -3.81%K -20.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -0.333%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.93%EV -7.27%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.31%E -0.722%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.85%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.68%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.27%EV -10.30%E -0.916%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.78%E -6.54%K -40.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.01%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.45%EV -14.29%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.88%EV -8.56%E -7.25%K -47.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:55
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.32%E -0.360%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.46%E -4.47%K -24.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.29%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.27%E -2.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -9.33%E -7.98%K -54.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -28.24%E -3.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -21.52%E -3.98%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 18:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.86%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.0%2026-10-15 18:55