La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Samsunspor v Rayo Vallecano
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Samsunspor (Casa)
Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV +1.52%
Vantaggio +0.372%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescita +0.007%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.53%24.87%24.98%26.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.743.754.0728.99%26.76%26.67%24.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Rayo Vallecano (Trasferta)
Previsione 44.96%2.22quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.908%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.34%44.94%44.96%45.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.102.1850.00%47.97%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.09%3.32quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -0.675%
Kelly -0.975%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.18%30.19%30.07%31.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.45%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +1.52%E +0.372%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.231%E -0.058%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Suprabets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -0.730%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.59%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:18 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -2.73%E -0.699%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.73%E -0.699%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.97%E -0.765%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.51%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.97%E -0.765%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.51%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| ReBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.27%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.17%E -4.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 17:38 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.81%EV -7.61%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.55%EV -1.98%E -0.908%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -6.11%E -1.96%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Fliff | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -11.45%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |