L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Samsunspor v Rayo Vallecano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Samsunspor (Local)
Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.494%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 4.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.87%24.98%26.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.743.754.0728.99%26.76%26.67%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rayo Vallecano (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.96%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.908%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.34%44.94%44.96%45.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.102.1850.00%47.97%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.09%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -0.975%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%30.19%30.07%31.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.45%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +1.52%E +0.372%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.231%E -0.058%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Suprabets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -0.730%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.59%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:18 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -2.73%E -0.699%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.73%E -0.699%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.97%E -0.765%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.51%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.97%E -0.765%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.51%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| ReBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.27%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.17%E -4.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 17:38 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.81%EV -7.61%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.55%EV -1.98%E -0.908%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -6.11%E -1.96%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Fliff | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -11.45%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |