La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Samsunspor v Rayo Vallecano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.494%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%24.87%24.98%26.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.743.754.0728.99%26.76%26.67%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)
Predicción 44.96%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.908%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.34%44.94%44.96%45.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.102.1850.00%47.97%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.09%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -0.975%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.18%30.19%30.07%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.45%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +1.52%E +0.372%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.231%E -0.058%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Suprabets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -0.730%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.59%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:18 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -2.73%E -0.699%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.73%E -0.699%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.97%E -0.765%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.51%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.97%E -0.765%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.51%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| ReBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.27%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.17%E -4.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 17:38 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.47%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.81%EV -7.61%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.55%EV -1.98%E -0.908%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -6.11%E -1.96%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Fliff | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.96%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -11.45%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |