Language:English
Rayo Vallecano v Strasbourg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano (Local)
Prediction 46.33%2.16fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.32%46.32%46.31%47.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.012.2052.36%49.60%49.75%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Strasbourg (Visit)
Prediction 25.56%3.91fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%25.57%25.56%29.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.043.623.603.8532.89%27.66%27.74%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -0.214%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.084%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.18%28.11%28.12%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.323.5532.26%30.30%30.12%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano (Local): 46.33%; Strasbourg (Visit): 25.56%; Draw: 28.11%. For Rayo Vallecano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.32%EV +1.93%E +0.876%K +1.61%G +0.031% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.91%EV -22.29%E -7.33%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.77%EV -11.18%E -3.54%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-16 23:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.46%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -3.87%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.45%EV -3.38%E -0.894%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 09:12 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 06:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 06:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -3.63%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -6.12%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.22%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.36%E -0.617%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.22%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.36%E -0.617%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 11:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.76%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%EV -0.214%E -0.060%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-21 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 19:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.89%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.43%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 21:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 09:53 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -8.27%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -3.02%E -0.877%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.27%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -9.19%E -4.69%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.51%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -18.20%E -5.69%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.94%EV -10.12%E -5.22%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |