La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v Strasbourg

Inizio: 2026-04-30 19:00 UTC

Finale: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Strasbourg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 46.33%2.16quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.876%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.32%46.32%46.31%47.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.022.012.2052.36%49.60%49.75%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Strasbourg (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.56%3.91quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -0.413%
Kelly -0.558%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.87%25.57%25.56%29.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.043.623.603.8532.89%27.66%27.74%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.11%3.56quota equa
EV -0.214%
Vantaggio -0.060%
Kelly -0.084%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.18%28.11%28.12%29.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.323.5532.26%30.30%30.12%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.32%EV +1.93%E +0.876%K +1.61%G +0.031%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.91%EV -22.29%E -7.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.77%EV -11.18%E -3.54%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 23:19
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.46%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -3.87%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 17:35
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.45%EV -3.38%E -0.894%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:04
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 09:12
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:49
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -3.63%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -6.12%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:40
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.22%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.36%E -0.617%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.22%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.36%E -0.617%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 03:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:04
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 11:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:24
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.76%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%EV -0.214%E -0.060%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 03:50
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 03:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 19:01
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 10:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:44
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 11:04
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:05
Suprabets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.89%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.43%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:51
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 09:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 09:53
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 09:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 09:54
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -8.27%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -3.02%E -0.877%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.27%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 03:50
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -9.19%E -4.69%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.51%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 19:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:34
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 13:15
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -18.20%E -5.69%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 11:04
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.94%EV -10.12%E -5.22%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 10:39
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:40
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 22:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%4.6%2026-04-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%4.6%2026-04-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%4.6%2026-04-23 21:04