Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Fiorentina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 34.87%2.87fair odd
EV -0.625%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.32%34.87%34.88%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.662.8540.00%37.48%37.59%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fiorentina (Visit)
Prediction 36.21%2.76fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.18%36.25%38.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.442.572.592.7040.98%38.86%38.61%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.093%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.95%28.87%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4532.26%30.81%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 34.87%; Fiorentina (Visit): 36.21%; Draw: 28.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -0.229%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -0.625%E -0.219%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -11.64%E -4.77%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -1.10%E -0.321%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -2.37%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.92%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -3.41%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -7.30%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.76%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.84%EV -4.86%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 17:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.00%EV -4.11%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.82%EV -3.41%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.11%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -4.81%E -1.76%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -4.81%E -1.76%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -0.229%E -0.066%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.12%E -0.932%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 17:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.01%EV -6.90%E -2.58%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -1.67%E -0.493%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -8.30%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.40%EV -8.02%E -3.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.19%E -4.11%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.19%E -4.11%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |