L’École des cotes

Raków Częstochowa v Fiorentina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prévision 34.87%2.87cote équitable
EV -0.625%
Avantage -0.219%
Kelly -0.338%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.32%34.87%34.88%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.662.8540.00%37.48%37.59%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fiorentina (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.21%2.76cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.36%36.18%36.25%38.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.442.572.592.7040.98%38.86%38.61%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.92%3.46cote équitable
EV -0.229%
Avantage -0.066%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.65%28.95%28.87%29.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.253.253.4532.26%30.81%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -0.625%E -0.219%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -11.64%E -4.77%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -1.10%E -0.321%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -2.37%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.92%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -3.41%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -7.30%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Suprabets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.76%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.84%EV -4.86%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:38
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.00%EV -4.11%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.82%EV -3.41%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 16:59
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.11%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:34
LowVig.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -4.81%E -1.76%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -4.81%E -1.76%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -0.229%E -0.066%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.12%E -0.932%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:39
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:30
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:19
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:38
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.01%EV -6.90%E -2.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:33
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:34
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -1.67%E -0.493%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:40
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -8.30%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.40%EV -8.02%E -3.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:34
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:34
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:34
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:34
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.19%E -4.11%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.19%E -4.11%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 17:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 17:19
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-19 17:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-19 17:40