A Escola das Odds

Raków Częstochowa v Fiorentina

Início: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Previsão 34.87%2.87odd justa
EV -0.625%
Vantagem -0.219%
Kelly -0.338%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.32%34.87%34.88%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.672.662.8540.00%37.48%37.59%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fiorentina (Visitante)

Previsão 36.21%2.76odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -0.825%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.36%36.18%36.25%38.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.442.572.592.7040.98%38.86%38.61%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.92%3.46odd justa
EV -0.229%
Vantagem -0.066%
Kelly -0.093%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.65%28.95%28.87%29.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.253.253.4532.26%30.81%30.77%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -0.625%E -0.219%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -11.64%E -4.77%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -1.10%E -0.321%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -2.37%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.92%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -3.41%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -7.30%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Suprabets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -3.76%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.84%EV -4.86%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:38
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.00%EV -4.11%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.82%EV -3.41%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 16:59
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.11%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:34
LowVig.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -4.81%E -1.76%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -4.81%E -1.76%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -2.23%E -0.825%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -0.229%E -0.066%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.12%E -0.932%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:39
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:30
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:19
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:38
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.01%EV -6.90%E -2.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:33
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:34
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -1.67%E -0.493%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.60%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:40
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -8.30%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.40%EV -8.02%E -3.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:34
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:34
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:34
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.64%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:34
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.19%E -4.11%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.19%E -4.11%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 17:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.34%E -3.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 17:19
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-19 17:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.83%E -5.13%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-19 17:40