La scuola delle quote

Lech Poznań v KuPS Kuopio

Inizio: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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33 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lech Poznań (Casa)

Previsione 80.66%1.24quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -2.68%
Kelly -16.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.06%80.53%80.83%82.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.98%85.47%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KuPS Kuopio (Trasferta)

Previsione 6.63%15.07quota equa
EV +16.10%
Vantaggio +0.920%
Kelly +0.976%
Crescita +0.157%

ipotizzando la quota massima 17.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.47%6.58%6.54%8.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0013.9413.0017.509.09%7.17%7.69%5.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 12.71%7.87quota equa
EV +2.31%
Vantaggio +0.287%
Kelly +0.328%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.67%12.89%12.63%14.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.407.117.008.0515.63%14.06%14.29%12.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.56%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.47%EV +16.10%E +0.920%K +0.976%G +0.157%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +1.68%E +0.210%K +0.240%G +0.004%4.4%2026-02-26 19:40
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.57%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000%17.31I 5.78%NM 5.53%EV +14.84%E +0.857%K +0.910%G +0.135%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.90%EV +2.31%E +0.287%K +0.328%G +0.008%4.4%2026-02-26 19:49
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:49
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:40
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.57%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -3.41%E -0.448%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:43
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -14.21%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -14.21%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -3.21%E -2.68%K -16.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -7.12%E -0.508%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:40
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 80.73%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -7.12%E -0.508%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:44
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.17%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -10.44%E -0.773%K -0.835%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -3.21%E -2.68%K -16.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 19:40
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.68%E +0.210%K +0.240%G +0.004%7.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:41
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.83%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -9.76%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:54
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:41
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:40
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:40
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 79.69%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.30%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.22%EV -15.74%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.58%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.81%EV +2.31%E +0.287%K +0.328%G +0.008%5.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:35
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.20%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:44
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -20.39%E -1.70%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:44
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -10.47%E -9.43%K -95.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.39%E -1.70%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 78.33%EV -8.86%E -7.84%K -68.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.05%EV -27.02%E -2.46%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.55%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-02-26 19:55