L’École des cotes

Lech Poznań v KuPS Kuopio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lech Poznań (Local)

Prévision 80.66%1.24cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -16.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.06%80.53%80.83%82.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.98%85.47%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KuPS Kuopio (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.63%15.07cote équitable
EV +16.10%
Avantage +0.920%
Kelly +0.976%
Croissance +0.157%

avec la cote maximale 17.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.47%6.58%6.54%8.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0013.9413.0017.509.09%7.17%7.69%5.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 12.71%7.87cote équitable
EV +2.31%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.328%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 8.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.67%12.89%12.63%14.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.407.117.008.0515.63%14.06%14.29%12.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.56%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.47%EV +16.10%E +0.920%K +0.976%G +0.157%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +1.68%E +0.210%K +0.240%G +0.004%4.4%2026-02-26 19:40
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.57%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000%17.31I 5.78%NM 5.53%EV +14.84%E +0.857%K +0.910%G +0.135%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.90%EV +2.31%E +0.287%K +0.328%G +0.008%4.4%2026-02-26 19:49
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:49
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:40
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.57%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -3.41%E -0.448%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:43
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -14.21%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -14.21%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -3.21%E -2.68%K -16.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -7.12%E -0.508%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:40
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 80.73%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -7.12%E -0.508%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:44
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.17%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -10.44%E -0.773%K -0.835%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -3.21%E -2.68%K -16.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 19:40
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.68%E +0.210%K +0.240%G +0.004%7.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:41
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.83%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -9.76%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:54
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:41
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:40
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:40
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 79.69%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.30%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.22%EV -15.74%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.58%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.81%EV +2.31%E +0.287%K +0.328%G +0.008%5.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:35
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.20%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:44
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -20.39%E -1.70%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:44
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -10.47%E -9.43%K -95.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.39%E -1.70%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 78.33%EV -8.86%E -7.84%K -68.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.05%EV -27.02%E -2.46%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.55%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-02-26 19:55