La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lech Poznań v KuPS Kuopio
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lech Poznań (Local)
Predicción 80.66%1.24momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -16.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.06%80.53%80.83%82.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.98%85.47%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)
Predicción 6.63%15.07momio equitativo
EV +16.10%
Ventaja +0.920%
Kelly +0.976%
Crecimiento +0.157%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.47%6.58%6.54%8.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.0013.9413.0017.509.09%7.17%7.69%5.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 12.71%7.87momio equitativo
EV +2.31%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.328%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.67%12.89%12.63%14.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.407.117.008.0515.63%14.06%14.29%12.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.56%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.47%EV +16.10%E +0.920%K +0.976%G +0.157% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +1.68%E +0.210%K +0.240%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.57%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 17.31I 5.78%NM 5.53%EV +14.84%E +0.857%K +0.910%G +0.135% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.90%EV +2.31%E +0.287%K +0.328%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +6.15%E +0.384%K +0.410%G +0.025% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.57%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -3.41%E -0.448%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -14.21%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -0.485%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -14.21%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -3.21%E -2.68%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -7.12%E -0.508%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.73%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -7.12%E -0.508%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -7.85%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.17%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -10.44%E -0.773%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -3.21%E -2.68%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.68%E +0.210%K +0.240%G +0.004% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.83%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -9.76%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.63%E -4.81%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.05%E -7.06%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.75%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -4.68%E -0.624%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.69%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 12.70I 7.87%NM 7.22%EV -15.74%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.58%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.81%EV +2.31%E +0.287%K +0.328%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betsson | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.20%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV -17.07%E -1.37%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -20.39%E -1.70%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -10.47%E -9.43%K -95.20%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.39%E -1.70%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -11.03%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.33%EV -8.86%E -7.84%K -68.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.05%EV -27.02%E -2.46%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -17.39%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.55% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |