Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KF Egnatia v FC Midtjylland

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: KF Egnatia 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prediction 14.90%6.71fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.99%14.94%14.72%16.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.216.256.8018.52%16.10%16.00%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visit)

Prediction 63.89%1.57fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.63%63.79%64.07%65.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.37%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.21%4.72fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.60%21.27%21.21%22.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.324.304.6225.64%23.13%23.26%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KF Egnatia (Local): 14.90%; FC Midtjylland (Visit): 63.89%; Draw: 21.21%. For KF Egnatia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.99%EV +1.34%E +0.197%K +0.231%G +0.003%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.18%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.82%EV -3.08%E -0.674%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:40
Pinnacle🎯6.51I 15.36%NM 14.69%EV -2.98%E -0.458%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.70%EV -2.02%E -0.437%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 16:40
ReBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 15:50
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.06%EV -4.14%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.06%EV -4.14%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:25
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 15:10
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 15:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 15:10
picklebet_au🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 16:25
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 15:05
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:38
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:38
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 16:20
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 14:50
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.86%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.86%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 15:55
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 16:20
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 15:10
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:35
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:20
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 15:15
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -9.28%E -6.53%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 15:15
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.31%EV -12.07%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.18%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:35
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -13.56%E -2.34%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:20
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -19.52%E -3.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -9.92%E -7.03%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -17.29%E -4.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40