Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KF Egnatia v FC Midtjylland

Início: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: KF Egnatia 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KF Egnatia (Local)

Previsão 14.90%6.71odd justa
EV +1.34%
Vantagem +0.197%
Kelly +0.231%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.99%14.94%14.72%16.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.406.216.256.8018.52%16.10%16.00%14.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Midtjylland (Visitante)

Previsão 63.89%1.57odd justa
EV -4.17%
Vantagem -2.78%
Kelly -8.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.63%63.79%64.07%65.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.37%68.03%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.21%4.72odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -0.437%
Kelly -0.558%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.60%21.27%21.21%22.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.324.304.6225.64%23.13%23.26%21.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: KF Egnatia (Local): 14.90%; FC Midtjylland (Visitante): 63.89%; Empate: 21.21%. Para KF Egnatia (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.71. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.99%EV +1.34%E +0.197%K +0.231%G +0.003%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.18%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.82%EV -3.08%E -0.674%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:40
Pinnacle🎯6.51I 15.36%NM 14.69%EV -2.98%E -0.458%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.70%EV -2.02%E -0.437%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 16:40
ReBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 15:50
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.06%EV -4.14%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.06%EV -4.14%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:25
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 15:10
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 15:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 15:10
picklebet_au🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 16:25
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 15:05
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:38
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:38
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 16:20
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 14:50
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.86%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.86%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 15:55
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 16:20
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 15:10
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:35
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:20
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 15:15
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -9.28%E -6.53%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 15:15
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.31%EV -12.07%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.18%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:35
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -13.56%E -2.34%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:20
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -19.52%E -3.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -9.92%E -7.03%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -17.29%E -4.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40