Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KF Egnatia v FC Midtjylland

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Score final : KF Egnatia 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prévision 14.90%6.71cote équitable
EV +1.34%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.231%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.99%14.94%14.72%16.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.406.216.256.8018.52%16.10%16.00%14.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.89%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -8.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.63%63.79%64.07%65.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.37%68.03%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.21%4.72cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.558%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.60%21.27%21.21%22.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.324.304.6225.64%23.13%23.26%21.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KF Egnatia (Local) : 14.90% ; FC Midtjylland (Visiteur) : 63.89% ; Match nul : 21.21%. Pour KF Egnatia (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.80, soit une espérance positive de +1.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.99%EV +1.34%E +0.197%K +0.231%G +0.003%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.18%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.82%EV -3.08%E -0.674%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:40
Pinnacle🎯6.51I 15.36%NM 14.69%EV -2.98%E -0.458%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.70%EV -2.02%E -0.437%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 16:40
ReBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 15:50
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.06%EV -4.14%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.06%EV -4.14%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:25
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 15:10
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 15:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 15:10
picklebet_au🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 16:25
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 15:05
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:38
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.13%E -0.482%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:38
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 16:20
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 14:50
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.86%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.86%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.09%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 15:55
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 16:20
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 15:10
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:35
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:20
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 15:15
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -9.28%E -6.53%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 15:15
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.58%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.31%EV -12.07%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.18%EV -8.64%E -6.04%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:35
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -13.56%E -2.34%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:20
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -14.31%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -19.52%E -3.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -9.92%E -7.03%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -17.29%E -4.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40