Langue:Français
Hajduk Split v Ajax
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hajduk Split (Local)
Prévision 23.00%4.35cote équitable
EV +10.41%
Avantage +2.17%
Kelly +2.74%
Croissance +0.285%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%22.73%23.07%23.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.104.004.8027.03%24.39%25.00%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ajax (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.58%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.48%54.01%53.56%58.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.721.731.8060.98%58.04%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.41%4.27cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +0.688%
Kelly +0.890%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%23.26%23.37%24.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.963.904.4027.03%25.22%25.64%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hajduk Split (Local) : 23.00% ; Ajax (Visiteur) : 53.58% ; Match nul : 23.41%. Pour Hajduk Split (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.35. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.80, soit une espérance positive de +10.41%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +10.41%E +2.17%K +2.74%G +0.285% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.18%EV -11.59%E -7.02%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +3.03%E +0.688%K +0.890%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 04:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.22%EV -6.77%E -3.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -4.00%E -0.975%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.22%EV -6.77%E -3.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -4.00%E -0.975%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV +2.36%E +0.531%K +0.685%G +0.016% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.86%E +0.426%K +0.554%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV +2.36%E +0.531%K +0.685%G +0.016% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.86%E +0.426%K +0.554%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.357%G +0.004% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +3.03%E +0.688%K +0.890%G +0.027% | 3.6% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.357%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -2.13%E -0.508%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -5.70%E -3.24%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -9.45%E -5.59%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.33%EV -5.46%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -2.83%E -0.681%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.66%E -0.395%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 16:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 16:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.77%E -3.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.77%E -3.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.34%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -8.37%E -4.90%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.88%EV -5.70%E -3.24%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -10.75%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -14.89%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.01%EV -12.13%E -7.39%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |