Language:English
FSV Mainz 05 v Sigma Olomouc
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FSV Mainz 05 (Local)
Prediction 72.58%1.38fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -10.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.89%72.50%72.64%73.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.45%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sigma Olomouc (Visit)
Prediction 8.94%11.18fair odd
EV +7.29%
Edge +0.608%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.99%9.01%8.86%10.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.3410.3012.0011.11%9.68%9.71%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.48%5.41fair odd
EV -0.232%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%18.49%18.50%19.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.055.005.4021.74%19.82%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 (Local): 72.58%; Sigma Olomouc (Visit): 8.94%; Draw: 18.48%. For Sigma Olomouc (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +7.29%E +0.608%K +0.663%G +0.048% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.03%EV +5.50%E +0.466%K +0.509%G +0.028% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.62%EV -10.76%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV +0.585%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.16%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.62%EV +0.138%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 16:22 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.00%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.32%EV -7.91%E -0.768%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.53%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.39%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.62%EV -10.00%E -8.06%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.66%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.97%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.44%EV -13.27%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.49%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.16%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.27% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |