A Escola das Odds

FSV Mainz 05 v Sigma Olomouc

Início: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Previsão 72.58%1.38odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -2.60%
Kelly -10.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.89%72.50%72.64%73.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.45%77.52%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sigma Olomouc (Visitante)

Previsão 8.94%11.18odd justa
EV +7.29%
Vantagem +0.608%
Kelly +0.663%
Crescimento +0.048%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.99%9.01%8.86%10.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.0010.3410.3012.0011.11%9.68%9.71%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 18.48%5.41odd justa
EV -0.232%
Vantagem -0.043%
Kelly -0.053%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.82%18.49%18.50%19.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.055.005.4021.74%19.82%20.00%18.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +7.29%E +0.608%K +0.663%G +0.048%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 16:40
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.03%EV +5.50%E +0.466%K +0.509%G +0.028%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.62%EV -10.76%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV +0.585%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.16%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.62%EV +0.138%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Suprabets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:22
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:19
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:25
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:28
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 72.00%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 16:24
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 17:30
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.32%EV -7.91%E -0.768%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:39
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:33
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:25
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.53%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.39%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:40
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:34
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:39
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:34
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.62%EV -10.00%E -8.06%K -41.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-19 16:24
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.66%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.97%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.44%EV -13.27%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.49%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:39
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.16%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:35
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 16:34
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-19 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.27%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-03-19 17:40