L’École des cotes

FSV Mainz 05 v Sigma Olomouc

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Prévision 72.58%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -10.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.89%72.50%72.64%73.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.45%77.52%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sigma Olomouc (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.94%11.18cote équitable
EV +7.29%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.663%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.99%9.01%8.86%10.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.3410.3012.0011.11%9.68%9.71%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.48%5.41cote équitable
EV -0.232%
Avantage -0.043%
Kelly -0.053%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%18.49%18.50%19.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.055.005.4021.74%19.82%20.00%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +7.29%E +0.608%K +0.663%G +0.048%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 16:40
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.03%EV +5.50%E +0.466%K +0.509%G +0.028%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.62%EV -10.76%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV +0.585%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.16%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.62%EV +0.138%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Suprabets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:22
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:19
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:25
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:28
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 72.00%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 16:24
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 17:30
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.32%EV -7.91%E -0.768%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:39
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:33
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:25
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.53%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.39%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:40
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:34
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:39
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:34
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.62%EV -10.00%E -8.06%K -41.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-19 16:24
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.66%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.97%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.44%EV -13.27%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.49%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:39
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.16%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:34
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:35
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 16:34
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-19 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.27%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-03-19 17:40