Langue:Français
FSV Mainz 05 v Sigma Olomouc
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FSV Mainz 05 (Local)
Prévision 72.58%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -10.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.89%72.50%72.64%73.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.45%77.52%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sigma Olomouc (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.94%11.18cote équitable
EV +7.29%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.663%
Croissance +0.048%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.99%9.01%8.86%10.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.3410.3012.0011.11%9.68%9.71%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 18.48%5.41cote équitable
EV -0.232%
Avantage -0.043%
Kelly -0.053%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%18.49%18.50%19.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.055.005.4021.74%19.82%20.00%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FSV Mainz 05 (Local) : 72.58% ; Sigma Olomouc (Visiteur) : 8.94% ; Match nul : 18.48%. Pour Sigma Olomouc (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.18. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +7.29%E +0.608%K +0.663%G +0.048% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.03%EV +5.50%E +0.466%K +0.509%G +0.028% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.62%EV -10.76%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV +0.585%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.16%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.62%EV +0.138%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.232%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.99%EV -2.08%E -0.392%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 16:22 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.00%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.65%E -0.150%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.78%K -32.86%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.12%E -0.583%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.32%EV -7.91%E -0.768%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.44%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.53%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.39%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.62%EV -10.00%E -8.06%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -10.59%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.66%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.97%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV -12.83%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.44%EV -13.27%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.49%EV -8.55%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.00%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.16%EV -4.92%E -3.75%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -15.06%E -1.59%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -17.30%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.93%E -0.755%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.27%E -7.42%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -19.53%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.27% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |