A Escola das Odds

Fiorentina v Raków Częstochowa

Início: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fiorentina (Local)

Previsão 52.30%1.91odd justa
EV -3.78%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.82%52.27%52.20%55.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.781.801.8460.61%56.11%55.56%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)

Previsão 21.51%4.65odd justa
EV +7.56%
Vantagem +1.51%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescimento +0.143%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.14%21.47%21.61%23.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.394.345.0025.00%22.77%23.04%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.19%3.82odd justa
EV -0.467%
Vantagem -0.123%
Kelly -0.167%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%26.26%26.19%27.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.16%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.66%EV -10.05%E -5.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV +7.56%E +1.51%K +1.89%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%EV -0.467%E -0.123%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -11.10%E -6.53%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +5.41%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:55
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +1.10%E +0.235%K +0.298%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:44
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:35
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.11%EV -1.69%E -0.371%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -2.30%E -0.617%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.92%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:35
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:35
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.78%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.74%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.72%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:54
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.55%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 19:54
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 19:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.53%E -5.51%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 19:36
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 19:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-12 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.1%2026-03-12 19:55