La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fiorentina v Raków Częstochowa
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Fiorentina (Casa)
Previsione 52.30%1.91quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -2.05%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.82%52.27%52.20%55.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.781.801.8460.61%56.11%55.56%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Raków Częstochowa (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.51%4.65quota equa
EV +7.56%
Vantaggio +1.51%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.143%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.14%21.47%21.61%23.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.394.345.0025.00%22.77%23.04%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.19%3.82quota equa
EV -0.467%
Vantaggio -0.123%
Kelly -0.167%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.17%26.26%26.19%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.16%28.17%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.66%EV -10.05%E -5.84%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV +7.56%E +1.51%K +1.89%G +0.143% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%EV -0.467%E -0.123%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -11.10%E -6.53%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +5.41%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +1.10%E +0.235%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.11%EV -1.69%E -0.371%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -2.30%E -0.617%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.92%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| ReBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.78%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.74%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.72%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.55%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.53%E -5.51%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 19:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.60% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |