Idioma:Español
Fiorentina v Raków Częstochowa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fiorentina (Local)
Predicción 52.30%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -4.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.82%52.27%52.20%55.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.781.801.8460.61%56.11%55.56%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)
Predicción 21.51%4.65momio equitativo
EV +7.56%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.14%21.47%21.61%23.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.394.345.0025.00%22.77%23.04%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.467%
Ventaja -0.123%
Kelly -0.167%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.17%26.26%26.19%27.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.16%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fiorentina (Local): 52.30%; Raków Częstochowa (Visitante): 21.51%; Empate: 26.19%. Para Raków Częstochowa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.65. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.66%EV -10.05%E -5.84%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV +7.56%E +1.51%K +1.89%G +0.143% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%EV -0.467%E -0.123%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -11.10%E -6.53%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +5.41%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +1.10%E +0.235%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.11%EV -1.69%E -0.371%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -2.30%E -0.617%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.92%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.78%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.74%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.72%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.55%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.53%E -5.51%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 19:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.60% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |