L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Fiorentina v Raków Częstochowa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fiorentina (Local)
Prévision 52.30%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.82%52.27%52.20%55.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.801.8460.61%56.11%55.56%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.51%4.65cote équitable
EV +7.56%
Avantage +1.51%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.143%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.14%21.47%21.61%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.345.0025.00%22.77%23.04%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.467%
Avantage -0.123%
Kelly -0.167%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.17%26.26%26.19%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.16%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.66%EV -10.05%E -5.84%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV +7.56%E +1.51%K +1.89%G +0.143% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%EV -0.467%E -0.123%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -11.10%E -6.53%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +5.41%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +3.25%E +0.678%K +0.856%G +0.028% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +1.10%E +0.235%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.05%E -0.228%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.11%EV -1.69%E -0.371%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -2.30%E -0.617%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.92%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.20%E -0.711%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| ReBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.78%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.74%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.72%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.55%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -5.35%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -7.50%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -8.58%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -7.44%E -4.20%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.53%E -5.51%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 19:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.96%E -4.52%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.65%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.87%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.60% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |