Language:English
Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crystal Palace (Local)
Prediction 45.42%2.20fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.47%45.46%47.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.082.1452.36%48.42%48.08%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rayo Vallecano (Visit)
Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%24.32%24.27%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.72%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.27%3.30fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.97%30.20%30.27%30.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.133.2533.90%32.09%31.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crystal Palace (Local): 45.42%; Rayo Vallecano (Visit): 24.31%; Draw: 30.27%. For Rayo Vallecano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.82%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.12%E +0.504%K +0.661%G +0.014% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.56%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -3.71%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -0.316%E -0.077%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.316%E -0.077%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.14%EV -1.53%E -0.378%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.94%E -0.599%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.41%EV -3.25%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.88%EV -1.53%E -0.378%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.77%E -0.439%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.55%E -0.791%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.77%E -0.439%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.55%E -0.791%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.43%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.19%EV -2.26%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 18:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.64%E -0.504%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.90%EV -4.16%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.54%EV -6.15%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.12%EV -5.98%E -2.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -8.25%E -4.08%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.64%E -0.504%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |