La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crystal Palace (Local)
Predicción 45.42%2.20momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%45.47%45.46%47.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.082.1452.36%48.42%48.08%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)
Predicción 24.31%4.11momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.504%
Kelly +0.661%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.63%24.32%24.27%25.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.72%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.27%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.504%
Kelly -0.728%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.97%30.20%30.27%30.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.123.133.2533.90%32.09%31.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.82%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.12%E +0.504%K +0.661%G +0.014% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.56%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -3.71%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -0.316%E -0.077%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.316%E -0.077%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.14%EV -1.53%E -0.378%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.94%E -0.599%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.41%EV -3.25%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.88%EV -1.53%E -0.378%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.77%E -0.439%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.55%E -0.791%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.77%E -0.439%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.55%E -0.791%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.43%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.19%EV -2.26%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 18:48 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.64%E -0.504%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Suprabets | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.90%EV -4.16%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.54%EV -6.15%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 18:10 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.12%EV -5.98%E -2.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -8.25%E -4.08%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.64%E -0.504%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-27 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 18:40 |