A Escola das Odds

Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano

Início: 2026-05-27 19:00 UTC

Final: Crystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Crystal Palace (Local)

Previsão 45.42%2.20odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%45.47%45.46%47.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.072.082.1452.36%48.42%48.08%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Previsão 24.31%4.11odd justa
EV +2.12%
Vantagem +0.504%
Kelly +0.661%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.63%24.32%24.27%25.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.72%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.27%3.30odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.504%
Kelly -0.728%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.97%30.20%30.27%30.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.123.133.2533.90%32.09%31.90%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.82%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.12%E +0.504%K +0.661%G +0.014%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.56%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -3.71%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -0.316%E -0.077%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 18:49
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.316%E -0.077%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.14%EV -1.53%E -0.378%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.94%E -0.599%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:49
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.41%EV -3.25%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.88%EV -1.53%E -0.378%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.77%E -0.439%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.55%E -0.791%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 18:49
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.77%E -0.439%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.55%E -0.791%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 18:50
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.43%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.19%EV -2.26%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 18:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 18:48
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:29
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.64%E -0.504%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 18:39
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 18:19
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 18:19
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 18:39
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 18:50
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 18:40
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.90%EV -4.16%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.54%EV -6.15%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 18:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 18:10
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.12%EV -5.98%E -2.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:29
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -8.25%E -4.08%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 18:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 18:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 18:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:40
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.64%E -0.504%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 18:39
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 18:39
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-27 18:49
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-27 18:49
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-27 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 18:29
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-27 18:40
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-05-27 18:40