Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crystal Palace v HŠK Zrinjski Mostar

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crystal Palace (Local)

Prediction 85.07%1.18fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -29.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.98%85.07%85.08%87.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.82%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visit)

Prediction 4.29%23.32fair odd
EV +32.95%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.362%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.07%4.35%4.43%6.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.0022.4021.5031.007.14%4.46%4.65%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.64%9.40fair odd
EV +11.70%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.17%10.59%10.48%11.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.908.858.6310.5012.66%11.30%11.59%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crystal Palace (Local): 85.07%; HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visit): 4.29%; Draw: 10.64%. For HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.32. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 31.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.07%EV +32.95%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.362%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +24.37%E +0.841%K +0.871%G +0.212%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +11.70%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.144%3.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.57%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.31%EV +24.37%E +0.841%K +0.871%G +0.212%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +20.09%E +0.717%K +0.744%G +0.149%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:48
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +20.09%E +0.717%K +0.744%G +0.149%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%26.44I 3.78%NM 3.64%EV +13.40%E +0.507%K +0.527%G +0.071%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.64%EV +6.28%E +0.629%K +0.698%G +0.044%3.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.12%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:50
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.23%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.46%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.20%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.20%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.39%E +0.639%K +0.709%G +0.045%4.4%2026-02-26 19:00
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +6.39%E +0.639%K +0.709%G +0.045%5.3%2026-02-26 19:49
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 18:55
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.29%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.31%EV -5.65%E -0.257%K -0.269%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.40%EV +7.45%E +0.738%K +0.819%G +0.061%5.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-02-26 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-02-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.12%E -7.52%K -101.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%7.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.87%E -3.42%K -29.75%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.79%EV -14.22%E -0.711%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.47%EV -2.66%E -0.290%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 14:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.61%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -14.22%E -0.711%K -0.749%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.75%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%19.65I 5.09%NM 4.68%EV -15.73%E -0.800%K -0.843%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -10.64%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -18.51%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:06
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -18.51%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV -22.80%E -1.27%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.82%E -9.27%K -163.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -35.67%E -2.38%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.04%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV -39.96%E -2.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -6.91%E -0.790%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55