Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crystal Palace v HŠK Zrinjski Mostar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crystal Palace (Local)

Prévision 85.07%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -3.42%
Kelly -29.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.98%85.07%85.08%87.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.82%90.91%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visiteur)

Prévision 4.29%23.32cote équitable
EV +32.95%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.362%

avec la cote maximale 31.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.07%4.35%4.43%6.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
14.0022.4021.5031.007.14%4.46%4.65%3.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 10.64%9.40cote équitable
EV +11.70%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.17%10.59%10.48%11.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.908.858.6310.5012.66%11.30%11.59%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Crystal Palace (Local) : 85.07% ; HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visiteur) : 4.29% ; Match nul : 10.64%. Pour HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 23.32. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 31.00, soit une espérance positive de +32.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.07%EV +32.95%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.362%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +24.37%E +0.841%K +0.871%G +0.212%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +11.70%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.144%3.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.57%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.31%EV +24.37%E +0.841%K +0.871%G +0.212%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +20.09%E +0.717%K +0.744%G +0.149%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:48
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +20.09%E +0.717%K +0.744%G +0.149%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%26.44I 3.78%NM 3.64%EV +13.40%E +0.507%K +0.527%G +0.071%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.64%EV +6.28%E +0.629%K +0.698%G +0.044%3.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.12%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:50
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.23%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.46%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.20%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.20%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.39%E +0.639%K +0.709%G +0.045%4.4%2026-02-26 19:00
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +6.39%E +0.639%K +0.709%G +0.045%5.3%2026-02-26 19:49
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 18:55
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.29%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.31%EV -5.65%E -0.257%K -0.269%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.40%EV +7.45%E +0.738%K +0.819%G +0.061%5.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-02-26 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-02-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.12%E -7.52%K -101.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%7.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.87%E -3.42%K -29.75%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.79%EV -14.22%E -0.711%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.47%EV -2.66%E -0.290%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 14:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.61%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -14.22%E -0.711%K -0.749%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.75%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%19.65I 5.09%NM 4.68%EV -15.73%E -0.800%K -0.843%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -10.64%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -18.51%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:06
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -18.51%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV -22.80%E -1.27%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.82%E -9.27%K -163.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -35.67%E -2.38%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.04%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV -39.96%E -2.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -6.91%E -0.790%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55