A Escola das Odds

Crystal Palace v HŠK Zrinjski Mostar

Início: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Crystal Palace (Local)

Previsão 85.07%1.18odd justa
EV -3.87%
Vantagem -3.42%
Kelly -29.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.98%85.07%85.08%87.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.82%90.91%88.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (Visitante)

Previsão 4.29%23.32odd justa
EV +32.95%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.362%

pressupondo odds máximas de 31.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.07%4.35%4.43%6.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
14.0022.4021.5031.007.14%4.46%4.65%3.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 10.64%9.40odd justa
EV +11.70%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.144%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.17%10.59%10.48%11.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.908.858.6310.5012.66%11.30%11.59%9.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.07%EV +32.95%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.362%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +24.37%E +0.841%K +0.871%G +0.212%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +11.70%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.144%3.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.57%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.31%EV +24.37%E +0.841%K +0.871%G +0.212%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +20.09%E +0.717%K +0.744%G +0.149%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:48
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.33%EV +20.09%E +0.717%K +0.744%G +0.149%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%26.44I 3.78%NM 3.64%EV +13.40%E +0.507%K +0.527%G +0.071%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.64%EV +6.28%E +0.629%K +0.698%G +0.044%3.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.12%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:50
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.23%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 85.46%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.20%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.20%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +11.51%E +0.443%K +0.460%G +0.053%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.39%E +0.639%K +0.709%G +0.045%4.4%2026-02-26 19:00
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +6.39%E +0.639%K +0.709%G +0.045%5.3%2026-02-26 19:49
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV -1.36%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 18:55
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.29%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.31%EV -5.65%E -0.257%K -0.269%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.40%EV +7.45%E +0.738%K +0.819%G +0.061%5.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:49
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-02-26 18:55
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-02-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:15
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:55
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.12%E -7.52%K -101.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -9.94%E -0.473%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +1.07%E +0.112%K +0.125%G +0.001%7.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.87%E -3.42%K -29.75%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.79%EV -14.22%E -0.711%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.47%EV -2.66%E -0.290%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 14:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.61%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -14.22%E -0.711%K -0.749%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.75%EV -15.96%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%19.65I 5.09%NM 4.68%EV -15.73%E -0.800%K -0.843%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -10.64%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -18.51%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:06
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.63%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -18.51%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.79%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV -22.80%E -1.27%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -4.25%E -0.473%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -4.72%E -4.21%K -39.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:49
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.82%E -9.27%K -163.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -27.09%E -1.59%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -8.97%E -8.39%K -128.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -35.67%E -2.38%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.04%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV -39.96%E -2.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -6.91%E -0.790%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-02-26 19:55