Language:English
Crystal Palace v AEK Larnaca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crystal Palace (Local)
Prediction 77.65%1.29fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -11.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.28%77.57%77.80%78.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.221.2585.47%82.44%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEK Larnaca (Visit)
Prediction 7.01%14.26fair odd
EV +12.17%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +0.811%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.00%7.04%6.87%8.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.2013.0016.009.52%7.58%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.34%6.52fair odd
EV -0.274%
Edge -0.042%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.46%15.39%15.34%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.986.006.5018.18%16.71%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crystal Palace (Local): 77.65%; AEK Larnaca (Visit): 7.01%; Draw: 15.34%. For AEK Larnaca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.26. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV +12.17%E +0.760%K +0.811%G +0.099% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV +12.17%E +0.760%K +0.811%G +0.099% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.10%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.49%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.90%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.51%EV +3.40%E +0.231%K +0.248%G +0.008% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +1.65%E +0.114%K +0.122%G +0.002% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +1.65%E +0.114%K +0.122%G +0.002% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.44%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.40%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.51%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.51%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.98%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 13.93I 7.18%NM 6.89%EV -2.35%E -0.168%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -2.73%E -0.430%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.68%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.27%EV -7.11%E -0.537%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.62%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.46%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 12.30I 8.13%NM 7.75%EV -13.77%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.79%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.74%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 12.15I 8.23%NM 7.52%EV -14.82%E -1.22%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.52%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -26.39%E -2.51%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |