La scuola delle quote

Crystal Palace v AEK Larnaca

Inizio: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Crystal Palace (Casa)

Previsione 77.65%1.29quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -11.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.28%77.57%77.80%78.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.211.221.2585.47%82.44%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEK Larnaca (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.01%14.26quota equa
EV +12.17%
Vantaggio +0.760%
Kelly +0.811%
Crescita +0.099%

ipotizzando la quota massima 16.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.00%7.04%6.87%8.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.5013.2013.0016.009.52%7.58%7.69%6.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.34%6.52quota equa
EV -0.274%
Vantaggio -0.042%
Kelly -0.050%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.46%15.39%15.34%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.505.986.006.5018.18%16.71%16.67%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV +12.17%E +0.760%K +0.811%G +0.099%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:50
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV +12.17%E +0.760%K +0.811%G +0.099%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.10%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.49%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.90%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.51%EV +3.40%E +0.231%K +0.248%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:54
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +1.65%E +0.114%K +0.122%G +0.002%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +1.65%E +0.114%K +0.122%G +0.002%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.44%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Suprabets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.40%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:50
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:55
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:50
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.51%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.51%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 77.98%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%13.93I 7.18%NM 6.89%EV -2.35%E -0.168%K -0.181%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -2.73%E -0.430%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 19:45
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.68%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.27%EV -7.11%E -0.537%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:55
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:55
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:55
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.62%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 19:55
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.46%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.75%EV -13.77%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.79%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:50
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 76.74%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000%12.15I 8.23%NM 7.52%EV -14.82%E -1.22%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:51
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:55
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 19:49
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 19:54
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:30
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:30
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 19:45
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 75.52%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -26.39%E -2.51%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-12 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-12 19:55