La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Crystal Palace v AEK Larnaca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crystal Palace (Local)
Predicción 77.65%1.29momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -11.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.28%77.57%77.80%78.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.221.2585.47%82.44%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEK Larnaca (Visitante)
Predicción 7.01%14.26momio equitativo
EV +12.17%
Ventaja +0.760%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.00%7.04%6.87%8.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.5013.2013.0016.009.52%7.58%7.69%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.34%6.52momio equitativo
EV -0.274%
Ventaja -0.042%
Kelly -0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.46%15.39%15.34%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.505.986.006.5018.18%16.71%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV +12.17%E +0.760%K +0.811%G +0.099% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV +12.17%E +0.760%K +0.811%G +0.099% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.10%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.49%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.90%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.16%E +0.344%K +0.368%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.51%EV +3.40%E +0.231%K +0.248%G +0.008% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +1.65%E +0.114%K +0.122%G +0.002% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +1.65%E +0.114%K +0.122%G +0.002% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.44%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.40%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.51%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.51%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -1.85%E -0.132%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.98%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 13.93I 7.18%NM 6.89%EV -2.35%E -0.168%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -2.73%E -0.430%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ReBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.68%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.27%EV -7.11%E -0.537%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.62%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.86%E -0.682%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.46%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 12.30I 8.13%NM 7.75%EV -13.77%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.79%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.74%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 12.15I 8.23%NM 7.52%EV -14.82%E -1.22%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:51 |
| Bet Right | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.88%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Neds | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -22.89%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.52%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -26.39%E -2.51%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |