Szkoła Kursów

AZ Alkmaar v Shakhtar Donetsk

Początek: 2026-04-16 16:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

38 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.56%2.81kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -0.544%
Kelly -0.852%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.26%35.58%35.59%37.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.602.602.7740.82%38.40%38.46%36.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Shakhtar Donetsk (Goście)

Prognoza 37.03%2.70kurs godziwy
EV -0.026%
Przewaga -0.010%
Kelly -0.015%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.62%37.07%37.07%38.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.542.542.7041.67%39.39%39.37%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.42%3.65kurs godziwy
EV -2.67%
Przewaga -0.753%
Kelly -1.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.32%27.36%27.35%28.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.433.453.5531.25%29.17%28.99%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -1.51%E -0.544%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 16:30
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.20%EV -2.22%E -0.807%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.58%EV -3.77%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 16:30
ReBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.87%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 16:30
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.87%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 16:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:30
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -11.13%E -4.64%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:30
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:30
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:33
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 16:30
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 16:34
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 35.37%EV -7.20%E -2.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.07%EV -7.80%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 16:34
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -0.026%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -2.67%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:29
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -5.69%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 16:35
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -8.26%E -3.20%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.67%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -8.26%E -3.20%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.67%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 16:35
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 16:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-16 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 15:50
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 15:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (3)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.09%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.30%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-04-16 16:35