La scuola delle quote

AZ Alkmaar v Shakhtar Donetsk

Inizio: 2026-04-16 16:45 UTC

Finale: AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Casa)

Previsione 35.56%2.81quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -0.852%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.26%35.58%35.59%37.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.602.602.7740.82%38.40%38.46%36.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shakhtar Donetsk (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.03%2.70quota equa
EV -0.026%
Vantaggio -0.010%
Kelly -0.015%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.62%37.07%37.07%38.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.542.542.7041.67%39.39%39.37%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.42%3.65quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -0.753%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.32%27.36%27.35%28.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.433.453.5531.25%29.17%28.99%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -1.51%E -0.544%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 16:30
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.20%EV -2.22%E -0.807%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.58%EV -3.77%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 16:30
ReBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.87%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 16:30
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.87%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 16:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:30
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -11.13%E -4.64%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:30
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:30
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:33
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 16:30
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 16:34
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 35.37%EV -7.20%E -2.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.07%EV -7.80%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 16:34
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -0.026%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -2.67%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:29
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -5.69%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.55%E -2.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 16:35
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -8.26%E -3.20%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.67%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -8.26%E -3.20%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.67%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -9.33%E -3.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 16:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 16:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 16:35
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 16:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.11%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-16 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 15:50
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.89%E -5.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 15:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.09%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.30%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-04-16 16:35