L’École des cotesFrançais
AEK Athens v NK Celje
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AEK Athens (Local)
Prévision 74.86%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -11.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.29%74.67%75.00%77.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.251.251.2984.03%79.89%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
NK Celje (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.22%10.85cote équitable
EV +10.62%
Avantage +0.885%
Kelly +0.965%
Croissance +0.103%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.94%9.28%9.12%10.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.0610.0012.0011.76%9.94%10.00%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.92%6.28cote équitable
EV +3.47%
Avantage +0.534%
Kelly +0.631%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.60%16.06%15.88%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.825.756.5020.00%17.18%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +10.62%E +0.885%K +0.965%G +0.103% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +3.47%E +0.534%K +0.631%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.12%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.01%E +0.523%K +0.572%G +0.034% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +1.88%E +0.293%K +0.348%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.88%E +0.293%K +0.348%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -9.27%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -10.91%E -9.17%K -57.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -10.91%E -9.17%K -57.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.36%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV +0.480%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.93%EV -5.13%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.56%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.74I 9.31%NM 8.94%EV -0.995%E -0.093%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 13:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-19 16:20 |
| ReBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.397%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV +0.285%E +0.045%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -5.51%E -0.538%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 10:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +3.47%E +0.534%K +0.631%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 05:05 |
| Suprabets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.50%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 17:18 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.28%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.54%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -10.16%E -8.47%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.72%EV -13.35%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.27%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -14.27%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -14.27%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 08:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -16.43%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |