مدرسة الاحتمالات

AEK Athens v NK Celje

البداية: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AEK Athens (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.86%1.34السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -2.66%
Kelly -11.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.29%74.67%75.00%77.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.191.251.251.2984.03%79.89%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

NK Celje (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.22%10.85السعر العادل
EV +10.62%
الأفضلية +0.885%
Kelly +0.965%
النمو +0.103%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.94%9.28%9.12%10.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5010.0610.0012.0011.76%9.94%10.00%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.92%6.28السعر العادل
EV +3.47%
الأفضلية +0.534%
Kelly +0.631%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.60%16.06%15.88%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.825.756.5020.00%17.18%17.39%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +10.62%E +0.885%K +0.965%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +3.47%E +0.534%K +0.631%G +0.022%5.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.12%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.01%E +0.523%K +0.572%G +0.034%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +1.88%E +0.293%K +0.348%G +0.007%6.3%2026-03-19 17:40
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.88%E +0.293%K +0.348%G +0.007%6.7%2026-03-19 17:34
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -9.27%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -10.91%E -9.17%K -57.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -10.91%E -9.17%K -57.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.36%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV +0.480%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.93%EV -5.13%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.56%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.74I 9.31%NM 8.94%EV -0.995%E -0.093%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 12:09
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 13:15
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:28
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 16:20
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.397%K -0.439%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV +0.285%E +0.045%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -5.51%E -0.538%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:33
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 10:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:19
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +3.47%E +0.534%K +0.631%G +0.022%5.4%2026-03-18 18:05
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 05:05
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.50%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 17:18
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 17:40
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 17:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 17:30
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 15:39
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:24
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 15:49
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 74.28%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.54%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 17:40
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -10.16%E -8.47%K -50.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-19 16:19
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.72%EV -13.35%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.27%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -14.27%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -14.27%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 15:39
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 15:39
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 08:50
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -16.43%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-19 15:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-19 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-19 16:39