La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AEK Athens v NK Celje
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Athens (Local)
Predicción 74.86%1.34momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -11.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.29%74.67%75.00%77.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.251.251.2984.03%79.89%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
NK Celje (Visitante)
Predicción 9.22%10.85momio equitativo
EV +10.62%
Ventaja +0.885%
Kelly +0.965%
Crecimiento +0.103%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.94%9.28%9.12%10.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.0610.0012.0011.76%9.94%10.00%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.92%6.28momio equitativo
EV +3.47%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.631%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.60%16.06%15.88%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.825.756.5020.00%17.18%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +10.62%E +0.885%K +0.965%G +0.103% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +3.47%E +0.534%K +0.631%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.12%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.01%E +0.523%K +0.572%G +0.034% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +1.88%E +0.293%K +0.348%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.88%E +0.293%K +0.348%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -9.27%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -10.91%E -9.17%K -57.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -10.91%E -9.17%K -57.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.40%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.36%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV +0.480%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.93%EV -5.13%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.56%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.74I 9.31%NM 8.94%EV -0.995%E -0.093%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 13:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.21%E -0.305%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-19 16:20 |
| ReBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.397%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV +0.285%E +0.045%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -5.51%E -0.538%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -0.511%E -0.082%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 10:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +3.47%E +0.534%K +0.631%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 05:05 |
| Suprabets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.50%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 17:18 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.82%E -0.782%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.49%E -0.748%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.28%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.47%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.54%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -10.16%E -8.47%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.72%EV -13.35%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.27%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -14.27%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -14.27%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 08:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -16.43%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |